Predictions

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🎙️ 001: Will Israel fight a Multi-Front War after invading Gaza?
A 50% chance of a multi-front war conditional on Israel invading Gaza + a whole lot more about the 🇮🇱🇵🇸 conflict.
 • 
Clay Graubard
 and 
Andrew Eaddy
004: Robin Hanson is Right & Everyone Else is Wrong.
The Future of Forecasting isn't where you expected.
 • 
Clay Graubard
 and 
Andrew Eaddy
11
003: Diving into Natural Disaster Forecasting
Plus: CFTC outlines PM stance, upcoming 🇺🇸 government shutdown? & more.
 • 
Clay Graubard
 and 
Andrew Eaddy
002: What Makes a Forecast Good?
Getting good information from prediction markets requires good forecasts. But what makes that? From questions to subjects to the data available, we…
 • 
Andrew Eaddy
 and 
Clay Graubard
8
001: Beware Danger Beyond the Goldilocks Zone
001: Beware Danger Beyond the Goldilocks Zone
 • 
Clay Graubard
 and 
Andrew Eaddy
Predictions
Predictions
Forecasting, geopolitics, and prediction markets by GeoVane.
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