What is Predictions?
Predictions is a weekly newsletter by us (now GeoVane, you may know us from YouTube). In this newsletter, you can expect:
News in Numbers: The biggest (or sometimes, not biggest) news stories of the week, from forecasters and prediction markets, selected by us.
Deep Dive: Andrew and Clay offer their opinions, theories, insights, and discussions about the field of quantified forecasting, its application, and the domain of predictions markets.
Global Guessing (optional): Like our original namesake, we apply the practice of quantified forecasting to the domain of geopolitics. Find the top-level takeaways here, and get full access to our live prediction through our Patreon.
The Base Rate: Industry news about forecasting and prediction markets, ala Nuño Sempere’s now retired Forecasting newsletter.
There’s more to this newsletter than just this, with more optional sections appearing. Some of your favorite brands from the past might even make a comeback—but you’ll have to wait for the next issues to see what they will be.
The Long Telegram
Every week, the GeoVane gang gets together to chat geopolitics in The Long Telegram. Like its namesake article, the podcast looks to the past, present, and future, discussing reoccurring themes, new developments, and emerging trends. They are often joined in the London studio or remotely by intriguing figures in the space of world politics. From hot takes on Turkey to forecasts on world war, The Long Telegram will become the hottest geopolitical podcast of 2023.
